Must Read
USCBC in the News
10. WSJ: U.S. firms fret over China debt, investment rules
11. IUSCT: USCBC head sees ITA collapse as casting doubt On Chinese reforms
12. CD: China, US investment talks called top priority
13. Politico - Morning Money: First look: USCBC priorities
Chinese News Sources
Notables
18. WSJ: Private-equity investors join China's environmental cleanup
19. WSJ: Stay away from China's trade
20. Bloomberg - Pesek on Asia: China's questionable data
21. Brookings - Jeffrey Bader: The U.S. and China’s nine-dash line: Ending the ambiguity
22. NYT: Tapping into a growing trend in China
23. DealBook: U.S. targets buyers of China-bound luxury cars
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Must Read
1. WSJ: China's January exports power higher, up 10.6%
The strong results could help reverse worries about the health of emerging markets.
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2. Reuters: China’s trade growth beats forecasts
China’s trade performance zoomed past forecasts in January, as import growth hit a six-month high, data showed Wednesday, confounding
earlier analysis suggesting that the economy was mired in a deepening slowdown. The value of China’s total exports climbed 10.6 percent in January from a year earlier, the Customs Administration said, more than five
times market forecasts of a 2 percent rise. Analysts who had expected the Lunar New Year holiday to hurt trade flows cautioned, however, that the data might have been inflated by fake transactions, in which traders forge deals to sneak cash into the country past capital controls
.The value of imports jumped 10 percent from a year ago, a pace not seen since July, handily beating market predictions of a 3 percent gain. Imports of crude oil, iron ore and copper all hit record highs, according to customs data
.The country’s trade surplus rose to $31.9 billion, well above forecasts of $23.7 billion and the $25.6 billion surplus in December.
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3. Bloomberg: China trade growth defies signs of slowdown
China’s export and import growth unexpectedly accelerated in January, defying signs the world’s second-largest economy will slow while fueling speculation that fake shipments are resurfacing. Overseas shipments rose 10.6 percent from a year earlier, the General Administration of Customs said today in Beijing, a pace that may be distorted by false invoices and holidays and compares with the median projection of economists for a 0.1 percent gain. Imports (CNFRIMPY) advanced 10 percent, leaving a trade surplus of $31.9 billion, the widest
for January since 2009. Asian stocks extended gains and the Australian dollar jumped as the report provided some evidence of support for an economy that’s projected by analysts to grow at its slowest pace in 24 years in 2014. Economists were split over whether the figures were exaggerated again after a crackdown by authorities last year on the use of inflated export invoices to disguise capital inflows.
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4. BBC: China trade surplus jumps to $32bn
China's trade surplus jumped to $31.9bn (£19.4bn) in January, easing concerns the world's second-largest economy may be stuck in a slowdown. The figure was up 14% from a year earlier and stronger than forecasts for a $23.7bn surplus. Imports rose by 10% from a year earlier to $175.27bn - led by record shipments of crude oil, iron ore and copper. Exports increased by 10.6% from a year earlier, far faster than analysts' forecasts, to $207.13bn. The positive trade figures also add to expectations China will overtake the US as the world's largest trading nation this year. China is the world's largest exporter, and analysts had been expecting the data to reflect
effects of the Lunar New Year holiday, which fell in January this year.
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5. NYT: A leading Chinese economist warns of a difficult year and ‘dead’ companies
Sounding warnings that could have been made 20 or even 30 years ago, one of China’s most renowned economists said the country’s economy faces a “very difficult” year as it continues confronting a host of problems that have intensified over the past decade. Wu Jinglian, an 84-year-old scholar whose views often clash with those of the country’s leaders, told fellow economists at a forum in Beijing on Monday that the government had to deal with the rise of “dead companies’’ – state-owned enterprises with high debt levels that depended on subsidies to survive. Mr. Wu made a career helping Chinese reformers deal with that very problem, as the country in the late 1970s opened to foreign investment and began to dismantle the Maoist-era government controls on prices and restrictions on private enterprise. His comments, summarized in the China Securities Journal, as Prime Minister Li Keqiang prepares to make his first annual address on China’s economy at the March meeting of China’s parliament, the National People’s Congress. Last year Mr. Wu made headlines by warning the country’s leadership before a major meeting on the economy that market overhauls would not be effective unless accompanied by political reform, including more democratization and greater rule of law. “If we depart from this cardinal principle, national economic development will return to its old ways, continuing to use
massive investment to spur economic growth, reeling between blind expansion and abrupt readjustments, and culminating in a systemic crisis,” Mr. Wu said in a speech on the eve of November’s Communist Party Plenum, which focused on the economy.
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6. FT: China land sales pull in record $672bn
Chinese land sales hit a record $672bn in 2013 following a lull the previous year, providing more evidence that the country’s property market is once again in full throttle. But although construction activity is likely to bolster the economy in 2014, there are signs that land sales could slow, weakening local governments’ ability to raise money. Land sales hit Rmb4.1tn, the Ministry of Land and Resources said, eclipsing the previous record of Rmb3.5tn in 2011. Land zoned for real estate use, which accounts for about one-quarter of zoned land sales, rose by nearly 27 per cent year-on-year.
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7. WSJ: Taiwan, China talks end cordially
First high-level parley yields no agreement, but potentially opens
door to political dialogue.
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8. FT: Chinese navy makes more waves in the Pacific
As John Kerry, US secretary of state, arrives in Asia on Thursday to reinforce the US “pivot”, the Chinese navy has been making waves by sailing new routes that illustrate its growing presence and confidence in the Pacific.
Chinese warships earlier this month quietly passed through the Sunda Strait – between the Indonesian islands of Java and Sumatra – for the first time en route to the Indian Ocean where they held exercises. They then returned via the Lombok Strait near Bali and through the Makassar Strait
off Borneo. China is trying to tilt the balance of power in the
Pacific where the US has been dominant for decades by developing a “blue water” navy that can operate further from its shores. Rory Medcalf, an Asia security expert at the Lowy Institute, said the latest move was an example of China flexing its growing muscles. “They are sending a signal that they have every right to use international waterways,” says Mr Medcalf. ”In another five years, an active Chinese military presence beyond the South China Sea and East China Sea will be quite normal.”
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9. IUSCT: Boustany, Larsen will travel to China in March to siscuss ITA, GPA, BIT
Reps. Charles Boustany (R-LA) and Rick Larsen (D-WA) will press the government of China in an upcoming trip this spring to accept tariff cuts on a much broader range of tech products than Beijing has been willing to agree to in the Geneva-based negotiations to expand the Information Technology Agreement (ITA). Boustany and
Larsen head up the Congressional U
.S
.-China Working Group and will submit a report to Congress following their trip. They will travel to China in March to seek progress in the ITA talks and raise a slew of other issues related to
U.S-China trade, the Louisiana Republican said in a Feb. 7 interview with Inside U.S. Trade. In preparation for their trip, Boustany said he had already met with Deputy U.S. Trade Representative Michael Punke – the U.S.
ambassador to the World Trade Organization – and will attend briefings with USTR and the State Department ahead of his trip. "I have met with Ambassador Punke, and we are [going to] press the same points that he has been pressing [on ITA]," he said. "Getting ITA done really requires the Chinese to play ball. Otherwise the whole thing's going to fall apart." He added that during his trip he would gauge interest in restarting and potentially completing the talks this year.
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USCBC in the News
10. WSJ: U.S. firms fret over China debt, investment rules
U.S.
companies that do business in China are worried about investment rules that limit their growth there, as well as about the repercussions of rising levels of debt in the world’s second-biggest economy, a U.S.
business group said Monday. Businesses are hoping more than anything else that renewed efforts to conclude a bilateral investment treaty between the U.S.
and Beijing will eventually give certain industries easier access to the Chinese market, according to a list of priorities that the U
.S
.-China Business Council planned to distribute to government leaders Tuesday. Secretary of State John Kerry may discuss the investment treaty, as well as regional security concerns, during a visit to Beijing in coming days. American and Chinese officials said last year that they had agreed to negotiate a treaty with the understanding that businesses would have unfettered access to all sectors except those included in a yet-to-be-determined “negative list.” Officials have met to work on the framework but have announced little progress. Global businesses have rapidly expanded trade with China, buying and selling hundreds of billions
in goods. Still, many businesses want to be able to open wholly owned units in the country within industries that don’t
allow majority ownership by foreigners. Local presence is especially important in the services industries, where the U.S.
has a surplus with its trading partners and a perceived global advantage. “
Its kind of hard to sell insurance in China from New York City,” said John Frisbie, president of the U
.S
.-China Business Council, which includes more than 200 American economies that do business in China. Chinese businesses have invested as little as $20 billion directly in the U.S economy, while
U.S. direct investment in China is estimated at $70 billion, he said.
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11. IUSCT: USCBC head sees ITA collapse as casting doubt On Chinese reforms
The head of the U
.S
.-China Business Council (USCBC) yesterday (Feb. 10)
signaled strong doubts that the Chinese government will undertake significant reforms in the near term to open the country to foreign investment and foreign imports, even while expressing hope that it would do so. "There's a lot of talk about reforms," said John Frisbie, president of the USCBC, in a press briefing. "It's unclear about the scope and pace, and it's unclear whether they'll touch upon our issues." Frisbie spoke as the organization released the third annual update of its board's priorities, which include removing ownership restrictions on foreign investment in China, the elimination of market access barriers, and completing trade liberalization initiatives such as the expansion of the tariff-cutting Information Technology Agreement (ITA). In expressing skepticism about the future policy direction of the Chinese leadership, he cited China's stance in the Geneva-based ITA negotiations. Those talks were suspended indefinitely in November after China refused to back down from its insistence on protecting a broad range of products from tariff elimination. He also cited China's drawn-out process for joining the Government Procurement Agreement (GPA), and the significant investment restrictions that China has maintained in the Shanghai Free Trade Zone. China had touted the zone as
pilot project for investment liberalization. Most of the priorities listed in the USCBC board's statement, made public today, closely mirror those contained in the one issued in January 2013, with a few additions. Among them are recommendations that China
take advantage of its leadership of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum this year to deliver "action-oriented outcomes," including those that "tangibly" promote an open trade and investment environment in the Asia-Pacific region. The USCBC board also highlighted the need for the U.S.
and China to "work collaboratively to ensure comprehensive, high-standard, commercially-meaningful outcomes" in a range of
plurilateral negotiations, including the ITA expansion talks as well as the Trade in Services Agreement (TISA) negotiations, the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the China-led Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP).
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12. CD: China, US investment talks called top priority
China and the United States should accelerate talks on a bilateral investment treaty and finalize the pact this year to unleash investment potential, experts said. China, US investment talks called top priority "Finalizing a meaningful BIT should be a top priority for both governments in 2014," said the US-China Business Council Board of Directors' Statement of Priorities in the US-China Commercial Relationship. Reuters quoted the head of the council's board, John Frisbie, as saying on Monday that "it's very important for us to grasp this opportunity to try to move forward and see how serious they are". China and the US began discussing the treaty in 2008, but talks stalled with China's insistence on a long list of protections for some sectors. Officials of the world's two biggest economies agreed in July to restart negotiations for a pact that incorporates national treatment for both new and existing investments. The pact will also have a "negative list" covering all investments except those specifically excluded. The 11th Sino-US Round of Negotiations for the treaty was held in Shanghai from Jan 14-15. The negotiators agreed on procedures and methods for future discussions. "It is important for China to take proactive steps to reduce investment barriers in the near term, even while the two sides are negotiating a BIT. Reducing ownership restrictions upfront and demonstrating a commitment to treat domestic and foreign investors equally will build strong support in the United States for a BIT," said the USCBC statement.
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13. Politico - Morning Money: First look: USCBC priorities
The US-China Business Council this morning will be releasing its 2014 statement of priorities for the US-China commercial relationship. You can get a sneak peak at the new priorities here: http://bit.ly/NvPq2j and here: http://bit.ly/1eOJyL5
Politico - Morning Money Back to Top
Chinese News Sources
14. Caixin: Give public the information it's due, order from Premier says
Limits on 'state secrets' come into effect March 1, a move Xinhua calls an effort to boost government transparency.
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15. SD: Landmark talks a major step for relations across Taiwan Strait
China’s mainland and Taiwan hailed a new chapter in their relations and agreed at historic talks yesterday to set up representative offices as soon as possible. The talks between Zhang Zhijun, head of the State Council Taiwan Affairs Office, and Wang Yu-chi, Taiwan’s mainland affairs chief, were the first since the founding of the People’s Republic of China in 1949. The two-hour talks in the eastern city of Nanjing marked a major step toward expanding cross-Strait dialogue beyond economic and trade issues. “The holding of this meeting marks a new chapter in our relations,” Wang told a news conference following the talks.
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16. SD: GM monthly sales reach record high in China
General Motors started this year on a bullish note as monthly sales with its joint ventures in China hit a record high in January after
underperforming in the Chinese auto market last year. Its combined deliveries rose 12 percent from a year earlier to 348,061 units last month. The figure included 171,856 units from Shanghai GM, up 11.4 percent on year, and 172,852 units from SAIC-GM-Wuling, up 13.9 percent. Both sales figures set a new monthly record. But sales of FAW-GM dropped 26.1 percent on an annual basis to 3,319 units. January vehicle sales
for the country will be released later this week. China’s auto market is expected to increase between 8 and 10 percent this year after sales rose 13.9 percent in 2013. Matt Tsien, who took over as GM’ new China head on January 1, said GM expects growth this year to be higher than the industry average as the automaker launches 17 new models.
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17. Xinhua: Airbus expects China rival in 20 years
The aspiring large passenger aircraft manufacturers from Russia and China or Canada-based Bombardier will not be a big threat to Airbus and Boeing for about 20 years, John Leahy, Airbus’ chief operating officer, said yesterday. “If you say,
will Airbus and Boeing
be under threat
for the next 10 years? The answer is no. Twenty years, the answer is probably yes. So 20 years from now, it will probably be a Chinese manufacturer that will be a big threat to both Airbus and Boeing,” Leahy said at the Singapore Airshow. He said Airbus was established in 1970, but it wasn’t until the 1990s that the European aviation firm began to gain significant ground against Boeing in
the large passenger aircraft market. China
set up Commercial Aircraft Corp of China, or COMAC, in 2008 with the goal of producing large passenger aircraft. The company has been marketing its ARJ21, a twin-engine regional jet, and the C919 family of narrow-body airliners at the
airshow.
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Notables
18. WSJ: Private-equity investors join China's environmental cleanup
Private-equity firms are again betting on China's environmental sector as the government adopts a new sense of urgency in cleaning up the nation's filthy air and water
.After a decline in 2012, the firms' investments in environment-related businesses in China last year totaled $1.2 billion, a record-high 7.1% of all private-equity investment in the country, according to the Hong Kong-based Centre for Asia Private Equity Research. That's up from 2.3% in 2012 and 6% in 2011, according to the center. The media, construction and consumer goods sectors were among those that were more popular. The jump in investment came as Beijing, under rising public pressure and fearing social unrest, issued two major policy statements regarding the environment. In August, the State Council, or cabinet, said it would support the expansion of the environmental industry to 4.5 trillion yuan ($730.5 billion) by 2015, with annual growth of more than 15%. In November, the Communist Party endorsed a "decisive role" for markets in
allocation of natural resources, as a way to limit pollution, while saying that polluters would be penalized more harshly.
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19. WSJ: Stay away from China's trade
Markets were girding for another negative Chinese economic data point.
Instead what they got was more distortion
.China reported exports in January unexpectedly jumped 10.6% compared with a year earlier, accelerating from December's pace. It was a sign that the positive export momentum seen since the middle of last year is continuing. Imports rose a similar amount, indicating that China's domestic industrial-construction complex is still hungry for raw materials. The Australian dollar, seen as a proxy for Chinese resource demand, predictably rose on the news. Now for the caveats. The first quarter of the year is always the hardest to read because of the Lunar New Year, China's biggest holiday. In theory, that it fell this year in January, rather than in February as it did in 2013, should have hurt January's trade reading in comparison with a year earlier. But it's also possible factories rushed to get work done by the end of the month, while last year they had well into February to close order books before the New Year. Another smoke screen is caused by cross-border businesses' "
overinvoicing" or "
underinvoicing" the value of trade. That lets them disguise
money as goods and smuggle it around China's restrictions on moving capital in and out of the country. The same thing happened last year and has made the trade data less and less reliable.

Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
WSJ Back to Top
20. Bloomberg - Pesek on Asia: China's questionable data
Are China's latest data too good to be true? They may indeed be. Somehow, China's economy raced ahead in January at a time when the global economy walked in place, at best, and the central bank clamped down on credit. Also, figures in South Korea and Taiwan suggest Chinese demand for their goods is sliding. China's data are puzzling, to say the least. But are they
complete fiction, with China officials returning to their old double-counting ways? As this Quartz analysis points out: "The good news: Last month’s Chinese trade data
is defying signs of a slowdown in the world’s second largest economy. The bad news: the improvement might be completely fraudulent."
Bloomberg Back to Top
21. Brookings - Jeffrey Bader: The U.S. and China’s nine-dash line: Ending the ambiguity
For the first time, the United States government has come out publicly with an explicit statement that the so-called “nine-dash line,” which the People's Republic of China (PRC) and Taiwan assert delineates their claims in the South China Sea, is contrary to international law. Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs Danny Russel, in testimony before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs on February 5, said, “Under international law, maritime claims in the South China Sea must be derived from land features. Any use of the 'nine-dash line' by China to claim maritime
rights not based on claimed land features would be inconsistent with international law. The international community would welcome China to clarify or adjust its nine-dash line claim to bring it in accordance with the international law of the sea."
Brookings Back to Top
22. NYT: Tapping into a growing trend in China
China’s private jet market could be summed up as a small pond with big fish. But the pond is not really so small — and it is growing fast. In all of
greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong and Taiwan, there are only about 400 private jets, of which about half are based in Hong Kong and Taiwan. But because larger jets are favored, buyers are spending more per plane than in other countries, making it an important market for manufacturers to crack. “Chinese buyers are mainly selecting larger, transcontinental private jets, and the average cost of such planes is around $30 million,” said Jason Liao, chairman and chief executive of the consulting firm China Business Aviation Group. “That’s three times more than the world’s average of about $10 million” spent on a private jet.
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23. DealBook: U.S. targets buyers of China-bound luxury cars
Michael A. Downs, a businessman in Fort Lauderdale, Fla., says he is simply looking to profit from the growing demand in China for cars from the likes of Mercedes, BMW and Range Rover. His three-year-old business recruits people in a dozen or so states to buy new cars from dealerships in the United States. He then sells those vehicles to other companies, which ship them to China. Once in China, the cars, which typically retail for $55,000 to $75,000 in the United States, can be resold for as much as three times those prices. “We’re taking advantage of a legitimate arbitrage situation,” he said. But to the federal government, businesses like Mr. Downs’s are potentially violating customs laws and deceiving auto manufacturers like Mercedes-Benz and BMW, which try to keep tight control over sales to domestic dealers and to foreign countries.
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