Some people want to censor the information - see below


Bjorn Lomborg

166,000 lives saved per year, despite rising temperatures

A new study in the renowned medical journal The Lancet shows that as temperatures have risen since 2000, today about 116,000 more people die from heat each year, but 283,000 fewer die from cold. Global warming now prevents more than 166,000 temperature-related fatalities annually, as Lomborg explains in his new Wall Street Journal column.

He discussed the fact of fewer temperature-related deaths in an interview with FOX News, with the host concluding: "This is fascinating, this certainly was an eye-opener for me." Unfortunately, good news on the effects of climate change is bad news for climate alarmists, and they are trying to prevent these facts from being seen through censorship (see below).

Medical editors arguing poorly for climate policies

With huge attention from the press, top medical editors from The Lancet, British Medical Journal and many others published an editorial in over 200 medical journals. They called for “emergency action” on climate change, but sadly, their main argument was based on a misleading claim that heat deaths are rising rapidly. They claimed that the number of global heat deaths has gone up by more than 50% among old people in the past 20 years. But they failed to mention that the number of old people has risen by almost as much.

Bjorn Lomborg reached out to the editors with a letter asking them to fix their unsound argument; unfortunately, none of them have corrected their mistake so far.

The world is getting safer from floods

Although we frequently hear about expensive floods, the relative toll that floods take in property and lives has decreased over time. In the U.S., which has some of the best long-term data, flooding costs as a share of gross domestic product declined almost 10-fold since 1903 to 0.05% of GDP, while annual flood death risk—fatalities per million—dropped almost threefold. World-wide data are sparser, but flood research shows costs relative to GDP and deaths relative to population have decreased globally from 1980 to 2010.

Though it hasn’t been well publicized, the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says it has “low confidence in the human influence on the changes in high river flows on the global scale.” It expects more areas will see the frequency of floods go up than go down—a negative impact of climate change, but one that’s much less dramatic than media coverage might suggest. And as the world grows richer, infrastructure and technology are likely to drive down relative flooding costs and deaths.

Read Lomborg's column in The Wall Street Journal.

US landfalling hurricanes have been slightly decreasing

Hurricane season has arrived in the Atlantic Ocean. Yet despite what you may have heard, Atlantic hurricanes are not becoming more frequent. In fact, the frequency of hurricanes making landfall in the continental U.S. has declined slightly since 1900. And there aren’t more powerful hurricanes either. The frequency of major hurricanes (Category 3 and above) making landfall since 1900 is also trending slightly down.

In his first of many columns on surprising, "unheard" climate facts in The Wall Street Journal, Lomborg is also pointing out that better infrastructure, fed by improved technology and wealth, does more to protect lives and property than cutting carbon emissions.

Censoring climate facts won’t make for better policy

Accepting the fact of increasing heat deaths and decreasing cold deaths (see above) should be simple and straight-forward. The estimate, after all, is published in the Lancet. However, the argument is clearly challenging the doom and gloom narrative promoted by many climate alarmists. Some, posing as fact-checkers, ineptly conclude that Lomborg makes "unsupported" claims, even by making up an absurd claim that is contradicted in the very article they 'fact'-check. You can read more on Lomborg's website.

Unfortunately, Facebook, the most popular social media platform worldwide, has given these bad-faith climate-campaigners the power to censor information on its platform. Effectively, they are deciding what information is allowed to be shared.

Lomborg argues in Britain's The Sun newspaper that while Facebook’s attempt to stop the spread of ‘fake news’ is principally laudable, the social media giant has a big question to answer: who guards the guardians?

You and your kids are extremely unlikely to die from climate change

A new survey shows that many young people are terrified of climate change. Echoing what they have heard from alarmed campaigners, journalists and politicians, they are urging drastic policies based on the claim that the "climate apocalypse" is becoming more and more deadly.

A closer look at the data, however, does not support this narrative at all. Over the past century, climate-related deaths have dropped an astounding 96%. And despite the sensationalist reporting about fires, heat and floods, 2021 is on track to achieve a century-long climate-related death risk decline of 99.7%.

Read Bjorn Lomborg's column in newspapers around the world, including Business Day (South Africa), The Australian, Jyllands-Posten (Denmark), Svenska Dagbladet (Sweden), Jakarta Post (Indonesia), Milenio (Mexico), La Prensa (Nicaragua), La Tercera (Chile), El Tiempo (Colombia), El Universo (Ecuador), Los Tiempos (Bolivia), The Punch (Nigeria), Portfolio (Hungary) and Capital (Ethiopia, print only).

Apocalypse? No!

The UN Climate Panel released its latest climate report last month. Yes, climate change is real. But many politicians and media pundits vastly overreacted. The scare stories of "climate apocalypse" are not supported by this new report.

Reporting ignores that only few of the claimed climate impacts are actually documented. It also disregards our adaptive capacity and positive climate impacts such as global greening or fewer cold deaths. One of the clearest ways to see it's not all doom and gloom is through climate economics. Because of climate change, the average person worldwide will be “only” 436 percent as well off in 2100 as they are now, instead of 450 percent. This is not the apocalypse but a problem we should fix smartly.

Lomborg's analysis of the IPCC report was published in newspapers across all continents, including New York Post (USA), China Daily, Die Welt (Germany), The Australian, Financial Post (Canada), de Volkskrant (Netherlands), Berlingske (Denmark), Kristianstadsbladet (Sweden), Milenio (Mexico), El Tiempo (Colombia), La Tercera (Chile), El Universo (Ecuador), El Pais (Uruguay), Entorno Inteligente (Venezuela), El Periodico (Guatemala), Los Tiempos (Bolivia), Jakarta Post (Indonesia, print), Business Day (South Africa), The Punch (Nigeria) and Postimees (Estonia).

Finding the best policies for Malawi

Copenhagen Consensus is partnering with the National Planning Commission of Malawi and the African Institute for Development Policy (AFIDEP) to find the most effective policy solutions for Malawi. Malawi Priorities will facilitate a prioritization of policy options for the country based on cost-benefit analyses. It will also seek to identify interventions that will enable the government to generate more financial resources to finance its development agenda.

New policy briefs and research papers are being released on a regular basis. The findings are presented to decision makers, the media and the general public across multiple channels, including panel debates with high-ranking officials and academics.

Lomborg on social media:

Genuine fact-check of Lomborg's inconvenient climate truths #1

Genuine fact-check of Lomborg's inconvenient climate truths #2

Rich countries promised $100bn/yr to developing countries for climate. They failed spectacularly.

Despite breathless climate reporting US fires burn much less today

Global inequality is lower today than it has ever been in the last 140 years

Net-zero will cost each American more than $11,000 every year by 2050

More global articles and interviews:

What’s the best way to combat US wildfires?
Varney & Co, Fox Business

Code Red for Climate Journalism
Hold These Truths with Dan Crenshaw

First ‘Net Zero’ Soccer Match

Separating facts from climate-change fear mongering
Boston Herald (USA)

A lesson from Hurricane Ida that is changing the world
Christian Science Monitor (USA)

Ida’s Reminder That Climate Policy Should Be Built on Resilience, Not Delusion
National Review (USA)

Huracanes que tocaron tierra en Estados Unidos 1900-2020
Milenio (Mexico)

Mennyire kell félnie a világnak az árvizektől?
Portfolio (Hungary)

Hurrikánok és a klímaváltozás: egy közkeletű tévhit eloszlatása
Portfolio (Hungary)

About Bjorn Lomborg and the Copenhagen Consensus 

Dr. Bjorn Lomborg researches the smartest ways to do good in the world, and has repeatedly been named one of Foreign Policy’s top 100 public intellectuals.

He is the author of several best-selling books, Visiting Professor at Copenhagen Business School, Visiting Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and works regularly with many of the world’s top economists, including seven Nobel Laureates.

His think tank, the Copenhagen Consensus Center, was named Think Tank of the Year in International Affairs by Prospect Magazine. It has repeatedly been top-ranked by University of Pennsylvania in its global overview of think tanks.

Lomborg is a frequent commentator in print and broadcast media, for outlets including the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, The Guardian, CNN, FOX, and the BBC. His monthly column is published in dozens of newspapers across all continents.
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David Lessmann
Communications Manager
Copenhagen Consensus Center
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