Your excellency, Dear Sir / Madam,

We have just published a set of papers for our latest topic, Health.

Would it be possible to save 7 million people from dying in the world’s poorest countries? It’s a bold target, but one that is realistic and achievable.
 
Based on medical research published originally in The Lancet in September 2014 – and now extended to include costs and benefits – Professor Prabhat Jha and colleagues from the University of Toronto, suggest that reaching this target would be possible if we massively increased health expenditure – $444 billion a year in 2030 - and used this money to improve health infrastructure, expand health systems and target smart interventions.
 
As reported on TIME.com this could reduce premature deaths by 40% by 2030 – in other words save 7 million lives â€“ in low income and lower middle-income countries. For every dollar spent we’ll do $4 worth of good.
 
And looking just at only low-income countries, which currently spend just $14 per person on health, the bang-for-buck is even greater. In these countries there is still, unfortunately, a high prevalence of easily preventable diseases such as malaria and tuberculosis. By 2030, spending $34 dollars more per person would save 2 million lives annually. For the world's poorest billion, each dollar spent on general health care would do $13 of good.
 
Health
Target Costs in 2030 ($B) Benefits in 2030 ($B) Benefit for every dollar spent
By 2030, reduce premature mortality by 40% in low income countries (LICs) $42 $584 $13
By 2030, reduce premature mortality by 40% in lower-middle income countries (LMIs) $402 $1,080 $3
By 2030, reduce premature mortality by 40% in LICs and LMIs $444 $1,664 $4

You can read all of the reports at www.post2015consensus.com/health

Here, Copenhagen Consensus Center has just released its latest research on Health targets for the post-2015 development agenda. Prabhat Jha and colleagues from the University of Toronto write the main report with additional viewpoints provided by UNDP, medical practitioners, Glaxo-Smith Kline, Save the Children and the Graduate Institute of International Development in Geneva.
 
Best regards,
 
Bjorn Lomborg
PhD and Adjunct Professor
President of Copenhagen Consensus Center

PS. The Post-2015 Consensus  project brings together 60 teams of economists with NGOs, international agencies and businesses to identify the targets with the greatest benefit-to-cost ratio for the UN's post-2015 development goals. If you have questions about the project, send an email to Research Project Manager Brad Wong by replying to this email.
We have posted leading economists' evaluation of each current UN OWG post-2015 target on Twitter. Follow us to see how all 169 current targets rate.
We have posted leading economists' evaluation of each current UN OWG post-2015 target on Twitter. Follow us to see how all 169 current targets rate.
In a hurry?
Download the one page PDF summary here.


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