95% of world energy was renewable in 1800. Without innovation, we won't see a breakthrough any time soon.
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Bjorn Lomborg

Renewable energy in decline

Historic perspective and future forecasts 

Many today believe that renewable energy will let us get off fossil fuels soon. Unfortunately, the facts say otherwise.

According to International Energy Agency data, 13.12% of the world’s energy came from renewables in 1971. In 2011, renewables’ share was actually lower, at 12.99%. Yet a new survey shows that Americans believe that the share of renewables in 2035 will be 30.2%. In reality, it will likely be 14.5%.

The solution is to innovate the price of renewables downward, so that they are able to outcompete fossil fuels eventually, as Lomborg explains in Slate and papers around the world. Translation in 6 languages available on Project Syndicate.

Climate scares don't make for good policy

It made headlines around the world: the story of a melting Arctic that could release an immense amount of methane, dramatically increasing global warming and costing a phenomenal $60 trillion. But it was a scare story. Lomborg debunks it in The Financial Times.
"Of course, if you take an implausibly catastrophic event and run it through an implausibly pessimistic economic model, you get headlines, but you don’t get good policy."

It got a number of activists arguing for the same old, tired policies in FT, and you can see Lomborg's reply here.

Scare stories abound -- climate will cause more conflict, which Lomborg debunks here -- but panic doesn't help making smart policies. Instead we should focus on green innovation to push the cost down.

The article is also available in German (Der Standard, Austria), Spanish (El Tiempo, Colombia, and Expansión, El Salvador) and Swedish (Expressen).

Bee-mageddon? -
Die Another Day!

Despite lots of alarmist talk about bees dying from colony collapse disorder (CCD), the actual numbers tell a story very different to bee-pokalypse fears.

Overall, the CCD is a problem we need to tackle, but it is not by any stretch of the imagination the end of the world, as Lomborg explains on facebook.

Eco-conscious or just unable to afford expensive power?

Green taxes are deeply regressive

Environmentalists celebrate that the average UK household has reduced its energy consumption 24.5% from 2005-11. Yet, the main cause is not green awareness but huge energy price hikes.

Over the past 8 years, UK household electricity prices have increased 50% in real terms. The graph below shows that it is the poor households that reduce. Actually, the rich didn't decrease their consumption at all.

This clearly shows how green taxes are mostly regressive -- percentage-wise they affect and hurt the poor the most.

From Lomborg's facebook.

Coming soon

to amazon.co.uk and amazon.de

How to Spend $75 Billion to Make the World a Better Place 
Available in exclusive hardcover, paperback and Kindle on Amazon.com
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Zsuzsa Horvath
Executive Assistant to Bjorn Lomborg
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About Bjorn Lomborg and the Copenhagen Consensus Center 

Dr. Bjorn Lomborg researches the smartest ways to improve the environment and the world, and has repeatedly been named one of Foreign Policy’s top 100 public intellectuals.

He is the author of several best-selling books, an adjunct professor at Copenhagen Business School and regularly works with many of the world’s top economists, including seven Nobel Laureates. 
His think tank, the Copenhagen Consensus Center was ranked by the University of Pennsylvania as one of the world’s "Top 25 Environmental Think Tanks".

Lomborg is frequent commentator in print and broadcast media, for outlets including the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, the Guardian, CNN, FOX, and the BBC. His monthly column is published in 19 languages, in 30+ newspapers with more than 30 million readers globally.
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